When Calibration Rankings Reverse: Accuracy-Controlled Evaluation for Fair Comparison of LLMs

arXiv:2606.30814v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Calibration evaluates whether a model confidence aligns with its empirical accuracy. Existing studies often compare the calibration of different large language models using global calibration metrics such as Expected Calibration Error and Brier Score. We begin by showing, both theoretically and empirically, that such comparisons are confounded by differences in model accuracy. For fairer cross-model comparison, we then propose ACE, an accuracy-cont...