Temporal Causal Prior-Data Fitted Networks for Panel Data with Learned Reliability Signals

arXiv:2606.20889v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Estimating causal effects in industrial time series requires handling temporal dynamics, time-varying treatments, and unobserved confounders. Existing causal foundation models (CausalPFN, CausalFM) operate only on static cross-sectional data; neural temporal methods (CRN, G-Net) require per-dataset training; and concurrent temporal-PFN proposals have not been demonstrated at industrial scale. None output explicit per-pair reliability signals alongs...