Improving Coherence in Hierarchical Time Series Forecasting using Structured Temporal Fusion

arXiv:2606.28553v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: In many real-world applications, such as retail sales, energy usage, and supply chain planning, forecasting is performed across hierarchical structures. These structures often represent aggregations (e.g., products to categories to regions), where forecasts must not only be accurate but also coherent, meaning that lower-level predictions sum correctly to higher-level forecasts. Traditional statistical methods, such as Bottom-Up and MinT, enforce co...