Confidence Laundering in Agent Systems: Why Uncertainty Needs a Latent Carrier

arXiv:2606.20662v1 Announce Type: new Abstract: Modern agent systems can turn uncertainty into overconfidence. Fragile upstream decisions are often exposed to downstream components as clean intermediate artifacts, while the uncertainty behind those decisions is lost at the interface. As a result, local ambiguity can become system-level error amplification. We argue that this reveals an interface bottleneck in agent uncertainty propagation: uncertainty does not propagate simply because a trajecto...